Thursday, August 28, 2008
And so it begins...again...
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Wow...there are two ladies in the same fantasy league...
Meanwhile, I had the guys on the set of ABC's College Football Studio show pick the names from a hat while we were at rehearsal on Saturday and the official name-drawer, Dave Bearman, was pretty impressed when he picked the second name. He responded with a surprised observation that the first two names were Steph and Amy, two female names, meaning that two girls are in the league. He noted that he wasn't sure if he knew two girls that played fantasy football, let alone in the same league. I laughed to myself and told him to just wait. Next name, Leila...then Claudia...then Sharon, Sarah, Jacquie, Sarah, Christina, Melanie, Malia and Alexandra. Yes, all ladies. And despite how much of a little girl my friend Eric from law school acts like, I'm not letting him in our all-female-fantasy league.
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
Fantasy Keeper Options 2008
It's fantasy football pre-season and in usual fashion, no one from my fantasy league has bothered to read my emails or the extensive document I attached to one of them, explaining in grand detail exactly how the fantasy keeper selections work. Therefore, in an attempt to save myself time and aggravation, I am choosing the keepers for them.
Christina actually already told me who she's keeping for the Black Widows this year, but I was imitating her general practice of tuning me out and happened to miss what she said. I think she should probably keep Santonio Holmes in the 9th round as that's a pretty good value for him. Not bad for a guy who had 8 touchdowns and almost 1,000 yards last year.
Purple Haze has the least number of options as Malia added and dropped (which automatically disqualifies a player from being kept) a multitude of players in order to get her team on track for a championship last year. It worked, she won the league title and now her only true keeper option is Ben Roethlisberger in the 6th round or nothing at all. While he had a lot of TDs, Roethlisberger's passing yards were on the low end in 2007. I expect the Steelers' offense to improve this year, but this is a very inconsistent QB#1. With that said, he finished last year as our 4th best fantasy QB and he's a good deal in the 6th round so I'm keeping big Ben for Malia. By the way, while it's hard to convey my lack of enthusiasm for Purple Haze to the fullest extent here without being able to use voice inflection, please note that I harbor intense resentment towards her team, which unwittingly pays tribute to Jimmy Hendrix, as I lost to her in the Finals. (Fact: Malia loves purple but when she came up with her team's name she had no clue as to its origin).
Both Malia and Sarah are new moms in 2008 so congrats to them--hopefully their babies will create enough of a distraction to prevent them from picking up the good free agents...hehehe...
Red Dogs owner Sarah will be keeping Braylon Edwards in the 5th round. His 16 TDs and almost 1300 yards last year make this one a no-brainer, assuming he can keep his shoes on and keep people from stepping on the back of his feet. I'll mention Sarah's other options just because it wouldn't be football if I didn't mention Brett Favre. And I don't mean that in a complimentary way. She could keep Favre in the 8th round, which is what his true value is thanks to his projected decreased passing yards, increased interceptions and downgrade in offense. No thanks. The next option is to keep his new teammate, Jerricho Cotchery, in the 7th round. Cotchery somehow caught 82 passes for 1130 yards in 2007, but had just 2 TDs. Theoretically those numbers should improve with a hall-of-fame-qb throwing to him this year. But, I wouldn't count on it.
Jacquie is new to the league this year and while she was on vacation in New Orleans, she won the keeper rights to Plaxico Burress in the 5th round or Eli Manning in the 7th round. Manning was a great fantasy quarterback in weeks 1 and 17 last year (not to be confused with weeks 1 through 17). Clearly the Super Bowl MVP was not a fantasy MVP throughout the regular season. Just goes to show how meaningless fantasy really is. Burress has an ankle injury keeping him out of the pre-season, which actually could benefit him if you happen to be one of those people (such as myself) who thinks the pre-season is all risk and no reward for veteran players. Burress has only caught one touchdown in 2008 so far and that was the one that won Super Bowl XLII. That plus the fact that he's Eli's favorite target makes him worthy of a 5th round pick.
Alexandra won the rights to Julius Jones in the 5th round or Isaac Bruce in the 14th round. Since she just got back from spending the summer abroad in Oxford, England (tough life), she may or may not know that both of these players moved around during the off-season. Bruce signed with the 49ers, after being released by the Rams, and although I can't be too excited for a guy who's almost as old as Brett Favre and catching passes from Alex Smith, I do like his upside. Not as much as Julius Jones' potential though! I love the move to Seattle from Dallas where he had to share his carries with Marion Barber. This former Irish tailback had over 1,000 yards two years ago and there's no reason why he can't surpass that with the Seahawks. But what remains to be seen (yuck-awful use of passive voice) is what he can do as far as scoring goes...
And for our third and final new fantasy member, Brooke, who has been busy working on her 15th career while flying across country to the ESPYs and getting back surgery and whatever other trouble she can possibly get herself into , the players at decent keeper value are Brandon Marshall in the 13th or Lendale White in the 5th. Apparently Marshall went to Iraq in the off-season with the amount and types of injuries he had-- perhaps warfare is what they mean when they say "off-field incidents." If he plays he definitely going to be worth more than a 13th round pick, whereas White could easily be a 5th round value depending on how our draft goes. White should be the starter in Tennessee, but with the pick of Chris Johnson in the first round of this year's NFL Draft , who knows? I'm giving Brooke Mr. Marshall.
Golden Rules without a doubt should keep Adrian Peterson in Round one and then choose to go 10th in the draft order. Unlike most of the "guys" out there who leave their draft order to random chance, this league takes control and uses the random drawing of names from a hat merely to provide guidance as to the order in which we choose our draft order. Therefore, Melanie can easily end up with All-Day as the 10th pick in the first round. Last time I spoke to Melanie she explained to me that she had fallen from the uneven bars and then went biking on a nice path-- or actually the drugs explained that to me. Therefore I'm going to just go ahead and confirm this decision for her.
Big Cats owner Leila will be taking a 10-day excursion to Peru right in the middle of draft week and although I wanted to kill her at first, we have finally come to a resolution as to when our draft date is, so all is forgiven. Miss Peru has two decent wide receiver keeper options as she can keep Randy Moss in Round 2 or Greg Jennings in Round 12. Moss is definitely a second round pick and Jennings is more like a 6th or 7th round pick. Obviously the value lies in the latter, but I'll let her decide if she wants to secure Moss in that second round spot.
Dientes Locos, also known as Bubble Girl, Wine Sipping MBAs and Beer Guzzling Machines has some pretty nasty keeper options and I don't mean nasty as in Malia's favorite song. Go with Leon Washington in the 9th round or nothing at all. 9th is probably a little high for a back-up who's only going to touch the ball in single-digit numbers per game without an injury to Thomas Jones.
As for me, I may have to pass on a keeper this year. My options are Tedd Ginn Jr. in the 9th, Joey Galloway in the 6th, Chris Cooley in th 5th or DeAngelo Williams in the 3rd. Any thoughts?
Thursday, August 7, 2008
SEC West Auburn vs. LSU
Auburn is dealing with change at quarterback and more importantly, their entire offensive system. But, the spread offense might just be the key to put this team over the edge and into a national championship contention. Last year with the most unexperienced offensive line ever to play under Tuberville here, the team stepped out and fell flat on it's face in consecutive home games against USF and Mississippi State. This year the line returns 4 starters. Which will be good for the quarterback, whoever he is. Kodi Burns and Chris Todd competing for the job. Burns ran Franklin's offense well in the bowl game against Clemson. And Todd has experience in this offense having played for Tony Franklin in high school. The running backs are more experienced this year and perhaps Brad Lester will decide to stay academically eligible for the entire season this year.
In sum, why I like Auburn over LSU:
* Auburn's new offense--they're addressing their biggest weakness from last year--passing game. They finished 103rd in passign offense and 97th in total offense.
* Plus, losing Brandon Cox is an opportunity for them-- you can't throw for 100 yards and 4 INTs against Georgia and expect to win.
* Auburn also has an improved offensive line, which was the most unexperienced line Tubberville had ever coached at auburn last year
* LSU's loss of key players and especially the question at quarterback is not something they had anticipated. The losses are Early Doucet, Jacob Hester and three DB's is also significant. They lose the leading rusher--both passers, the two interception leaders--and top 5 draft pick Glenn Dorsey.
* LSU did well in a strange year for college football and beat an OSU team that wasn't anywhere near ready to be playing for the title again after losing basically their entire defense after 2006.
Wednesday, August 6, 2008
Tennessee 2008 Football Preview
Phillip Fulmer did the unthinkable and finally went outside of the "family" for his coaches this off-season. I wasn't a big fan of David Cutcliffe even though this offense managed to have the 2nd best passing yards in the SEC behind Erik Ainge. And I wasn't a big fan of Ainge even though he managed to have the third best passing efficiency in the SEC. He had -32 rushing yards on the year and the win over Georgia had nothing to do with his meager 165 yards and no scores. Take out the Arkansas St. and Kentucky games and there goes 11 of his TDs. Thus, I'm looking forward to seeing what new Offensive Coordinator and QB coach Dave Clawson can do with fourth-year junior quarterback Jonathan Crompton.
Good news for the Vols-- since the spring and the decision to curfew themselves, the team has not had any reported off-field incidents. Also good-- Arian Foster and Lucas Taylor at tailback and receiver, respectively. This offensive line gave up a total of 4 sacks last year. And even though this unit may be one of the best in the SEC if not the country, their position coach is not satisfied with their performance so far and I consider that the right attitude.
On defense, they were one of the worst teams in the SEC last year in several categories, especially when it came to passing yards and passing efficiency defense. Their rushing defense was down considerably too, with the exception of the fairy-tale game against Georgia. The linebackers and defensive backs look strong this year. So the question remains--how will this line be?
Texas Football Preview 2008
Last year re-discovering the zone read gave this team a much-needed spark—especially for Jamaal Charles. He finished 10th in the country in rushing. In fact, in the three games Texas lost in 2007, Charles had less than 100 yards in each of them (he also had lower numbers against Rice, Iowa State and Baylor, but those were all blowouts). Colt McCoy had somewhat of a slump—his TDs were down and his INTs were up. This year defense should work on keeping opponents out of the end zone in goal-to-go situations (going into the bowl game they had allowed touchdowns almost 90% of the time in that situation). McCoy is injury prone. Did Mack improve their pass defense last year? Just 99th in 2006 allowing 236 ypg. No! It got worse in 2007. They were 109th in 2007 and allowed 277 ypg. Good rushing defenses the past two years though(2006 61.15 ypg (3rd in nation) and 2007 93.38 ypg(6th in the nation). But they have just 4 defensive starters back. You don't have to worry about that as much on a Mack Brown team as you would another team. But it still could have an impact.
Texas A&M Football Preview 2008
Kansas Football Preview 2008
Todd Reesing had 213 straight passes without an INT (school record). Through week 5 they had outscored 4 mediocre opponents 214-24—but week 6 was their first big 12 opponent. What worries me about Kansas? Who did they beat last year?
Missouri Football Preview 2008
Nebraska Football Preview 2008
Offensively, they now they have a quarterback they can trust in Joe Ganz. He set three of the schools top five passing records in just five starts. Marlon Lucky says he's excited to play for Pelini and he should be. They were in the bottom half of the Big 12 in rushing last year and that stat should drastically improve this year. The line slimmed down over the winter and their conditioning changed to focus on speed and stamina. They have four players back with substantial starting experience.
Texas Tech Football Preview 2008
Oklahoma Football Preview 2008
As for the defense-- another solid line. The rush defense was excellent all year, even against A&M and Texas, until they faced West Virginia in the Fiesta Bowl. In that debacle of a game for the Sooners, their rush defense went from allowing 92 yards per game to 110 to finish the year. That's a difference between finishing 6th in the country (1st in the Big 12) and being 17th in the country (3rd in the Big 12). Not only did they end on a bad note, but this unit loses 5 starters, including their 4 leading tacklers (three from the secondary and what was their best linebacker in Curtis Lofton). They gave up some big passing games last year and the Texas Tech game killed them (420 yards passing).
Perhaps the no-huddle offense will catch the Sooners up to the Big 12 offense statistically speaking. But even if they don't, they seem to find ways to score just fine without moving the ball too much. (5th in nation and 2nd in Big 12 behind Kansas in Scoring offense).
Last year what happened to this team?
This team is by no means perfect and those who believe in a sophomore slump best stay away. I, however, believe they can win a national championship this year. And it might just be fitting for Ohio State and OU to play each other for that $30,000 crystal football given that these two teams combined have played in and lost four of the last five national title games. Unfortunately, that wouldn't break the streak for one of the coaches as that game would hand either Jim Tressel or Stoops their third loss in three tries.